Your post is exactly what I have been thinking, but I was wrong. I have looked at the draw odds for residents. After looking at the resident odds I don't think it will be such a great deal to lower the nonresident tag allotment. A slight increase in ability to draw a tag over picking up the lost revenue of the nonresident. There are a lot of units that have more applicants than tags offered. Quite a few where odds are low. The simple truth is there is a great demand for these big game tags. If residents really want them all they better be ready to pay the price. That will be need to be about 3 times the current prices to make up the revenue lost from nonresident tags and points. Be careful what you wish for.
No, it won't.
I spent some time today looking at this supposed "huge" loss in revenue under 90/10.
If we kept doe/fawn deer, doe/fawn pronghorn and cow/calf elk at 80-20 this would be the "loss" to going 90-10 for all other tags.
NR elk, not one penny would be lost. By regulation 7,250 full price NR tags would still be issued under 90-10...not a penny lost.
NR deer, loss of $1,438,596 is all it would be (a loss of 3,508 NR deer tags)...I calculated that of those 3,508 tags there would be special regular split of 60% regular priced tags, and 40% special priced tag.
NR sheep loss in revenue of $52,500
NR Moose loss in revenue $56,730
NR Goat loss in revenue $20,100
NR Bison loss in revenue $61,708
Pronghorn, no loss as NR's would pick up additional tags that Residents didn't draw when their allocation in increased in the better units. Meaning, many of the mid-tier units would have additional tags available to NR's.
So, total revenue loss would be $1,629,634 if 90-10 were to pass.
There is no way that Residents would have to "pay 3x as much for their tags" to come up with $1,629,634.
For example, if we raised resident adult fishing licenses from $27 to $30....that would generate $222,540.
Raise every full priced resident big-game license by $5....that would generate $743,385.
Raise NR doe fawn pronghorn from $34 to $50....that would generate $258,000
Raise NR doe/fawn deer from $34 to $50....that would generate another $122,000
Just those minor fee increases would generate: $1,345,925
Tell me how you're ciphering residents would have to pay 3x as much for our tags to make up the revenue lost under 90-10....because I'm not buying the snake oil you're trying to peddle...
Facts matter and trumps emotion....every...single...time.