I don't know where the OP is from, but assuming NR, last year GMU 44 took 26 NR points for 4th season and 24 for 3rd so you don't currently have enough for those seasons. 2nd season "only" took 15 points so you should be able to get that. Success rates for all those seasons averages in the 60% - 70% range so nothing is guaranteed ... especially a giant buck.
Below is part of my write-up in EBJ-136 which is just hitting mailboxes now and of course, TagHub.
"Large unit south of Rifle, CO. Unit 44 doesn’t really come alive for big bucks until 3rd and 4th season when success runs 60%-70%, but it can be a tough hunt and takes a ton of points which may not be worth it. Now, with 2nd season being later, that could be a great draw with fewer points. The unit is on the downswing with low tag numbers but still a blue chip."
I will add the Area Wildlife Officer told me the big bucks are actually much harder to come by than people think and it's not uncommon for hunters to go home empty handed and very disappointed. Spending all your points here does NOT guarantee a large buck.
So big bucks are in there but they're hard to find ... 3rd & 4th season are best (but you don't have enough points yet).