Hopefully it makes some sense in the post below. This 1 didnt come out at all how I was hoping. lol
I been trying to figure my actual odds of drawing in a BP system and this is what I have come up with. There were 8 tags. I divided the total number of entries in the draw by the applicants total entries for that point class in the draw by and divided that by the number of tags. On the right is what actually happened in the draw so as you can see my theory doesnt always work. What does anyone else think?
Actual draw results
points applicants total entries in draw total entries per applicant draw odds successful unsuccessful
11 4 488 122 1.6-1 1 3
10 3 303 101 2.0-1 1 2
9 2 164 82 2.4-1 1 3
7 3 150 50 4.0-1 1 2
6 4 148 37 5.4-1 0 4
5 3 78 26 7.7-1 1 2
4 6 102 17 11.8-1 2 4
3 8 80 10 20-1 1 7
2 8 40 5 40-1 0 8
1 12 24 2 100-1 0 12
0 25 25 1 200-1 0 25
total (79) (1602)
I been trying to figure my actual odds of drawing in a BP system and this is what I have come up with. There were 8 tags. I divided the total number of entries in the draw by the applicants total entries for that point class in the draw by and divided that by the number of tags. On the right is what actually happened in the draw so as you can see my theory doesnt always work. What does anyone else think?
Actual draw results
points applicants total entries in draw total entries per applicant draw odds successful unsuccessful
11 4 488 122 1.6-1 1 3
10 3 303 101 2.0-1 1 2
9 2 164 82 2.4-1 1 3
7 3 150 50 4.0-1 1 2
6 4 148 37 5.4-1 0 4
5 3 78 26 7.7-1 1 2
4 6 102 17 11.8-1 2 4
3 8 80 10 20-1 1 7
2 8 40 5 40-1 0 8
1 12 24 2 100-1 0 12
0 25 25 1 200-1 0 25
total (79) (1602)
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