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  1. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grainbelt View Post
    Giving a lot of consideration to unit 22. Thoughts?
    Last year was less than a 10% chance with 12 points... You had 27 unsuccessful guys one point ahead of you last year trying for the 3 tags allotted. You're likely 5+ years away from drawing that area unless tag numbers change.

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  3. #12
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    I think Hilltop may even be a bit optimistic. I would guess Unit 22 is 10+ years out for you. It still takes max points to draw and you are two points below that. There are many people with as many or more points than you (like 3 of my sons) who have never even applied yet. Also realize there were "0", zero, nada, no random draw tags for 22 last year.

    If I was you, with 11 points I'd to be looking at hunts that were drawing with 8 to 10 points in the 2018 draw. One of the biggest mistakes people make is looking at last years odds and think they apply to the current year. This is particularly bad with hunts that have heavy point creep (more points required each year). Any Wyoming elk tag drawing up near 10 points is going to have fairly heavy point creep and be going up nearly a full point each year.

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  5. #13
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    In 2018 there were 33 max applicants for 2 tags in the special draw and 30 applicants for 3 tags in the regular draw in 22. That means it could possibly take 10 to 16 years before all the max pt applicants have drawn in 22. It doesn't list how many applicants there are with 1 less than max....so it will take a chunk more years to have 100% chance to draw with 11 pts.
    Last edited by jimss; 01-11-2019 at 08:32 AM.

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  7. #14
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    Thank you for the responses, suppose I should reconsider...understood that it was a long shot. Do the tags automatically go to the individuals who have the most points, or is it more along the lines of their names go in the hat more than mine would?
    Last edited by Grainbelt; 01-11-2019 at 01:15 PM.

  8. #15
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    In the points draw... they go to highest point holders then down from there depending on how many tags. It's not a bonus point system where you just get more chances... most points get the tags

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  10. #16
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    Thanks for the clarification. I didn't understand that....time to audible

  11. #17
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    Last year in Area 22 folks with 12pts which is max, had less than a 10% chance of drawing. The special draw was worst. Josh is a great guide and his brother is also. Like stated having a guide is no guarantee. They'll get you opportunities but it's up to you to make the shot.

    https://wgfd.wyo.gov/Hunting/Drawing...8-Drawing-Odds

  12. #18
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    How big of a concern are the grizzlys while going with an outfitter like Josh? Just another day at work for them, so should it give a guy pause when thinking about a back country hunt?

  13. #19
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    Just another day at work...i spent 5 years guiding in grizzly country, and saw a ton of bears, and it never once affected the way i hunted the areas. The good thing about an outfitter is they have the man power and horse/mule power to get animals off the mountain, back to camp and to the trailhead quickly. Josh has spent his whole life in grizzly country and im sure he has his ways very dialed in handling them around camp

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  14. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grainbelt View Post
    How big of a concern are the grizzlys while going with an outfitter like Josh? Just another day at work for them, so should it give a guy pause when thinking about a back country hunt?
    We saw grizzlies on our hunt, but to me it actually enhanced the experience. Just be smart and be prepared. There are a lot more likely ways to get injured or killed on a backcountry hunt than a bear.

 

 
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