Results 1 to 9 of 9
  1. #1
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    132
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 3 Times in 3 Posts
    Congratulations
    0
    Congratulated 0 Times in 0 Posts

    NM MRS Draw Odds Question

    So I'm putting together my plan for this year's application, which will be the first time I've ever applied for any western state hunt. The 2 main tools I'm using for comparing draw odds for different hunts are hunterstrailhead.com and the MRS section of Eastmans. I'm noticing drastic differences in the odds for multiple hunts and I'm curious if anyone knows why they might differ so much between the 2 sources. Any info or advice you guys might have would be greatly appreciated b/c right now, my application plans would be very different depending on which source I based the odds off of. Thanks.

  2. #2
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    North Umpqua, Oregon
    Posts
    3,155
    Thanks
    653
    Thanked 838 Times in 527 Posts
    Congratulations
    268
    Congratulated 210 Times in 26 Posts
    Though they aren't perfect Hunterstrailhead has the most accurate published draw odds out there. Most sources don't account that you have to consider that all three hunt choices are valid in New Mexico. Hunterstrailhead takes that into account.

  3. #3
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Bend, Orygun
    Posts
    948
    Thanks
    5
    Thanked 280 Times in 214 Posts
    Congratulations
    1
    Congratulated 4 Times in 4 Posts
    The MRS doesn't list odds for NM. They list 1st choice success which is misleading. For NM you need to look at your chosen hunts and see how the choices were drawn. Many are filled with 1st, some are filled as 2nd or 3rd choices. Adding all three choices to get odds is a "worst case" scenario.
    Last edited by WapitiBob; 02-22-2014 at 11:26 AM.

  4. #4
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    colfax, wa
    Posts
    6,424
    Thanks
    1,925
    Thanked 1,089 Times in 854 Posts
    Congratulations
    501
    Congratulated 166 Times in 40 Posts
    I always look up and verify everything on the states site myself for hunts I am interested in.

  5. #5
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    132
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 3 Times in 3 Posts
    Congratulations
    0
    Congratulated 0 Times in 0 Posts
    Thanks guys...I'll keep basing it off hunterstrailhead and take the MRS section with a grain of salt.

  6. #6
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Bend, Orygun
    Posts
    948
    Thanks
    5
    Thanked 280 Times in 214 Posts
    Congratulations
    1
    Congratulated 4 Times in 4 Posts
    Save your money and d/l the NM odds yourself. Download the excel spreadsheet too and make your own calculations.

  7. #7
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2012
    Location
    Maringouin, LA
    Posts
    329
    Thanks
    166
    Thanked 65 Times in 50 Posts
    Congratulations
    0
    Congratulated 58 Times in 7 Posts
    As all ready said you have to add all applicants with the unit as a 1st, 2nd or 3rd choice. If you are a NR DIYer, don't forget to multiply the tag quota by .06. Divide that number by the total applicants and that should be your true odds.

  8. #8
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Location
    Sasakwa, Oklahoma
    Posts
    941
    Thanks
    162
    Thanked 167 Times in 141 Posts
    Congratulations
    68
    Congratulated 52 Times in 9 Posts
    He is a resident
    "Only two people have died for You and I, The American Soldier died for Our Freedom & Jesus Christ Died for Our Souls!" I thank GOD for them! GOD BLESS AMERICA!



    NRA Life Member

  9. #9
    Eastmans' Staff / Moderator
    Join Date
    Feb 2014
    Location
    Powell, WY
    Posts
    169
    Thanks
    25
    Thanked 60 Times in 37 Posts
    Congratulations
    11
    Congratulated 7 Times in 4 Posts
    Statistically speaking your chances of drawing a second or third choice are very slim on most species with a few exceptions with antelope. So to avoid printing a bunch of zero's and providing you information that's useless (for the most part), we only provide the 1st choice applicant success. I hope this helps and good luck in the draws.
    Managing Editor
    Eastmans' Hunting Journals

 

 

Similar Threads

  1. Draw odds
    By millerdecks@gmail.com in forum Mule Deer
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 03-02-2014, 05:50 PM
  2. Arizona Draw odds?
    By kiddwinner in forum Arizona
    Replies: 24
    Last Post: 03-02-2014, 12:41 PM
  3. Deer Draw Odds Research
    By LaHunter in forum Wyoming
    Replies: 8
    Last Post: 01-22-2014, 07:01 PM
  4. MRS draw odds ?
    By Ranger3-94 in forum New Mexico
    Replies: 6
    Last Post: 02-28-2013, 03:12 AM
  5. WY Draw Odds
    By NDHunter in forum Wyoming
    Replies: 2
    Last Post: 09-03-2011, 06:13 PM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •